As Haley and Trump are left in the Republican race to face each other in even more grueling contest than Lowa Caucuses and New Hampshire Primary, in her home state of South Carolina where she has been elected Governor.
Nikki Haley is the woman who has been fighting strong and hard for the upcoming US Presidential race taking on the mighty Donald Trump all alone. Although she stood a distant third in the recently held Lowa Caucuses and New Hampshire primaries, yet her resolve to defeat the former President elect remains firm. Her confidence stems from her vast experience right from being elected as the Governor of South Carolina to being appointed the former US Ambassador to the United Nations.
Where Donald Trump, Ron De Santis, Vivek Ramaswamy and Niki Haley were all in the electoral fray to pose as the Republican candidate for US Presidential elections, yet the defeat of all other candidates in the Lowa Caucus and New Hampshire primary, made them back out of the race. However, it was Nikki Haley who held on to her feet and has been unrelenting to the mighty Trump. Her grit and determination to keep going has caught media eyeballs and has been making Trump highly uncomfortable.
Favourability of Hart Research Associates / Public Opinion Strategies
Nikki Haley is favoured by those sections of the population who are able to identify value in her tone and her civility which is a clear departure from the model of Trump which is full of rhetorics, with an over-powering personality to likes to maintain an iron-grip on the Republican base and leave no space for a woman challenger. Trump has even hosted press conferences highlighting the failures of Nikki Haley even though Haley tops Biden in the national survey but trails when other candidates are added.
| YouGov(Feb 18th-20th) | Morning Consult(Feb 17th-19th) | Quinnipiac University (Feb 15th-19th) |
| Trump: 78% | Trump: 81% | Trump: 80% |
| Haley: 12% | Haley: 18% | Haley: 17% |
Nikki Haley is behind Trump by 64% in the Republican Primary candidates, which reveals the edge of Trump over all his rivals, including those who gave up.
The Nevada primary for both Democrats and Republicans was held on 6th of February, 2024. Early voting began on 27th of January and ends on 2nd of February. Unrelenting Haley suffered yet another defeat in Nevada even though she did not have any more challenger as South Carolina Senator Tim Scott and Former Vice Presdient, Mike Pence had actually dropped out of the race.. She received only 32.4% of votes while the voters of Nevada chose to vote for the category of ‘none of these candidates’, which itself received a whopping 61.2% of votes.
For Haley a victory in the state run Nevada primary would actually mean nothing except for an opportunity to brag about herself, which also she lost. This is because for her the South Carolina Primary Polls are highly significant since she was raised, educated and native of the state. Her public reputation and personal touch with the voters of South Carolina are important to be held in high esteem and therefore she and her team have been preparing hard for facing the polls in her own state. Her office termed the Nevada primary as inconsequential as Nevada is a Trump bastion where top leaders had been indicted to have acted as false electors for Trump in the 2020 elections.
On the other hand, Trump clinched victory in the Nevada caucus on February 8th by a significant margin. He was in the Caucus alongside Ryan Binkley and won over fifty thousand votes as against Ryan who won only around five hundred odd votes. With this, Trump received the 26 delegates of Nevada and thereby took a large lead of acquiring the support of 1215 leads inorder to become the Presidential nominee of the Republicans. Nevada is the 4th win for him after Iowa, New Hampshire, and US Virgin Islands. Next, Nikki Haley will face him head on in South Carolina.
| Suffolk University(Feb 15th-18th) | Emerson College (Feb 14nd-16th) | Trafalgar Group (Feb 13th-15th) |
| Trump: 63% | Trump: 61% | Trump: 63% |
| Haley: 35% | Haley: 39% | Haley: 34% |
The American Promise and the Tyson Group pre-poll survey in South Carolina revealed that Trump has a significant support base of 58% of voters in South Carolina, ahead of the primary which will take place on the 24th of February, 2024. Interestingly, Trump fared better than Haley in every possible political and demographic group.
In terms of favorability, Trump fared better with as high as 68% voters in favour of Trump in the home state of Haley while lagged behind by 12 points. In fact, 44% of the voters strongly favor Trump while those favouring Haley comprise of half the favorable percentage of Trump.
The two major issues of public concern for the voters of South Carolina has been economy and dealing with illegal immigration. The majority of them believe that only Trump can save them from the difficulties as against Haley.
The going will be tough for Haley it seems as Trump has the backing of over hundred and fifty present and former elected officials including the likes of Governor Henry McMaster, US Senators Lindsay Graham and Tim Scott. On the other hand, Nikki has the support of the Jewish community but she cites her ability to hold the state government accountable as the reason for her poor support from the government quarters.
To make her way past Trump, Haley needs to appeal to two sections of Republicans. One section who have always despised Trump and would never want him to re-win and the second section who like Trump but feel his loud rhetoric’s and rigid fundamentalist mentality may lose in front of the incumbent President, Joe Biden.
Haley has to very cleverly maintain her distance from Trump without alienating his supporter who are still vulnerable to vote for someone else closer to the elections. According to the voters, Haley appeals because she can establish a direct connect with the voters and is considered to posses the ‘X’ factor. She is also considered to be engaging, smart, visionary with an appealing personality.
Her campaigns are a mix of pragmatism and rational compromise, with staunch conservatism. She does not carry grievances in sacks, and speaks firmly and confidently on hotcake issues such as abortion, women’s right and immigration. He always takes care of not meddling with the culture wars of the nation, as she knows how sensitive issues of culture are and thereby she prefers to leave it upto the will and mandate of the voters of the states.
She has the support of the highly influential Koch network. Some of the well known names supporting her include Stanley Druckenmiller, a former hedge fund-turned full time philanthropist, Cliff Asnen, another hedge fund manager. Then she has the support of henry Kravis, who has donated heavily to the cause of Israeli cultural endeavors, Berry Sternlicht – real estate billionaire, Leonard Stern – the real estate magnate, Jan Koum – founder of Whatsapp , Elliot Badgin – Minesota car supply magnate, Ronald Simon – home builder of California and Terry Kassel – a Palm beach Philanthropist.
| Biden | Haley | |
| Average (Feb 22nd, 2024) | 40.33% | 44% |
| Emerson College (Jan 26th-29th) | 37% | 38% |
| Echelon Insights (Dec 12th-16th, 2023) | 41% | 45% |
| Beacon Research, Shaw & Company Research/Fox News (Dec 10th-13th) | 43% | 49% |
If Haley and Biden are to be put as direct adversaries, Haley seems to rank equal to Biden in all respects for the upcoming Presidential polls as compared to her rankings with Trump, where she stands half the mark against Trump.
Last 7 Days
Haley: 5.7%, Trump: 94.52%
Last 30 Days
Haley:16.3%, Trump: 83.6%
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