High Stock Price: At around $785 per share, Nvidia’s stock may be out of reach for many retail investors, even with the help of fractional shares. A stock split would make individual shares more affordable, potentially boosting broader investor participation and trading volume.
Historical Precedents: Nvidia has a history of stock splits, conducting five since 2000, including a 4-for-1 split in July 2021. This track record suggests the company is open to making shares more accessible when the price climbs beyond a certain threshold.
Continued Growth Potential: With analysts predicting a 42% CAGR for the generative AI market by 2032, Nvidia is poised to benefit significantly due to its 80% market share in the advanced chips needed for training AI applications. This strong growth outlook could incentivize the company to split the stock to attract more investors and capitalize on the market’s expansion.
The Chances of a split in NVDA stock have risen significantly on account of accelerated revenue and price forecasts. Revenues are predicted to triple in the next quarter and sustain fairly high over the next few years. As a consequence, some analyst forecasts have breached $1000 and many are at more than $800. These are levels at which NVDA becomes a prime candidate for a stock split. Read our detailed analysis along with the latest analyst summary.
Metric | Value | Trend |
---|---|---|
Current Price | $777.00 | Higher |
Trading Volume | $49.5 M | Steady |
The average NVIDIA Stock Forecast for the next 12 months is $854
Nvidia (NVDA) exceeded analysts’ fourth-quarter earnings forecasts, posting an adjusted EPS of $5.16 and revenue of $22.1 billion, against the anticipated EPS of $4.60 and revenue of $20.4 billion. This compares to an EPS of $0.88 on $6.1 billion in revenue for the same quarter the previous year. The company’s total revenue for 2022 reached $27 billion. Looking ahead, Nvidia projects first-quarter revenue to be around $24 billion, surpassing Wall Street’s expectation of $21.9 billion. This growth is attributed to the performance of Nvidia’s Data Center business, which reported $18.4 billion in revenue, driven by increasing demand for computing and AI across multiple industries.
Despite the positive earnings report, Nvidia experienced a significant reduction in data center revenue from China, due to US licensing restrictions that limit the sale of certain Nvidia chips to China. The company faces challenges from competitors like AMD and Intel in the AI chip market. Additionally, several of Nvidia’s major customers, including companies such as Amazon, Google, Meta, and Microsoft, are either developing or have developed their own AI chips, potentially affecting Nvidia’s market share. In response to these competitive pressures, Nvidia has initiated discussions with these companies about the possibility of designing custom chips, indicating a strategic approach to sustaining its market leadership amid increasing competition.
Managing Stock-Based Compensation: Nvidia grants a significant amount of stock-based compensation to its employees. A stock split would reduce the number of shares needed for each grant, making it more cost-effective for the company.
NVDA forecasts by analysts have been of very poor quality, check them out here
There is no specific date for the next NVIDIA stock split. However, many analysts predict that the NVIDIA stock split could happen in 2024.
Will NVIDIA Stock Split? Arguments In favor of a split
1. Historic Track record: NVIDIA has split its stock on five occasions since its listing on the Nasdaq. The most recent split was in 2021 when the stock was trading at around $800. Given that the company had not split its stock for nearly 14 years before the 2021 split, this suggests NVIDIA may not necessarily be in a hurry to split its stock frequently.
2. Industry Trends: NVIDIA split the stock in 2021 which is also when numerous companies announced stock splits. That is not the case now and it is unlikely NVIDIA will buck the trend.
3. Emerging Competition – Competitors like AMD and Intel are ramping up their AI capabilities to challenge Nvidia’s position. Even major tech companies such as Google, Microsoft, and Amazon are developing their own AI chips, potentially reducing their reliance on Nvidia in the future.
4. Emerging Geopolitical Risks: The United States has banned the export of numerous NVIDIA products to China and Russia. China is perhaps one of the world’s largest markets. Recently, The Biden administration included some Middle Eastern countries as well. These pose a risk to revenues and also increase the probability of competitors gaining on NVDA.
In sum, NVIDIA is likely to announce a split if economic conditions improve this year. Most other conditions are favorable for a split at the moment.
NVIDIA has had stock splits five times in the past and the last split took place in 2021. The NVIDIA stock back then was trading around $800. It must be remembered that the last NVIDIA stock split came after 14 years of its previous split. Currently NVIDIA stock is above $650 and from the point of investors, NVIDIA is expensive, and to have more investors holding NVIDIA stock, it needs to be cheaper, therefore a stock split or a market crash are the only options for NVIDIA stock to become cheaper.
Stock splits are a way to make more shares of a company’s stock without changing the company’s overall value. Even though the total value of the company stays the same, the price of each share becomes lower after a split.
Companies might do stock splits to attract investors who don’t want to spend a lot on a single share. By making the price per share lower, more people might be interested in buying.
During a stock split, the company creates more shares and gives them to existing shareholders. This can make it easier to buy and sell the stock because there are more shares available.
However, doing too many stock splits might not be a good idea. While it can make the stock seem more affordable, if a company does a lot of splits, it could create confusion or make people wonder if something’s wrong with the company’s value.
Additionally, as we know stock splits often happen when a stock’s price has gone up a lot. This makes the stock seem pricey to some investors. So, the split makes the stock look cheaper, which attracts more investors who want to buy.
However, this can also catch the attention of people who bet that the stock’s price will drop, called short sellers. They might see the split as a chance to bet against the stock and make money if the price falls. Sometimes, this can cause the stock’s price to go down a bit after the split.
Therefore, the stock split could be both good and bad for the market.
In theory, it is difficult to predict the next stock split. However, looking at past data, there are some scenarios under which a stock split by NVDA makes sense
Nvidia Corporation has a history of stock splits. Nvidia Corporation has announced stock splits on five different occasions in its trading history on Nasdaq. The stock split history is listed below for reference: –
RATIO | |
06/27/2000 | 2:1 |
09/17/2001 | 2:1 |
04/07/2006 | 2:1 |
09/11/2007 | 3:2 |
07/20/2021 | 4:1 |
Note: collates Predictions and data from all over the net and has no in-house view on the likely trends in the Stocks or Crypto Coins. Please consult a registered investment advisor to guide you on your financial decisions.
The SCAR-H is an assault rifle featured in Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2, Call…
Over the past two years, Warhammer Quest: Silver Tower has been an enjoyable single-player experience.…
A very important note though, these mushrooms are poisonous so don’t eat them. Though they…
We would like to inform you that the v1. 0.0 update for eFootball™ 2022 (available…
When you press the PS button, the light bar will glow in a uniquely assigned…
Garrus is easy to miss in the original Mass Effect. Shepard can recruit him after…